Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:12:\"user warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:225:\"Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired\nquery: SELECT data, created, headers, expire, serialized FROM cache_filter WHERE cid = '3:78de104a4998179be73dc1de38662431'\";s:5:\"%file\";s:31:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:27;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:7:\"warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:80:\"Parameter 1 to texy_image_texy_handler() expected to be a reference, value given\";s:5:\"%file\";s:32:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/module.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:497;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:7:\"warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:93:\"Parameter 1 to texy_syntaxhighlighting_texy_handler() expected to be a reference, value given\";s:5:\"%file\";s:32:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/module.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:497;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:7:\"warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:75:\"Parameter 1 to texy_texy_settings() expected to be a reference, value given\";s:5:\"%file\";s:32:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/module.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:497;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:7:\"warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:81:\"Parameter 1 to texy_image_texy_settings() expected to be a reference, value given\";s:5:\"%file\";s:32:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/module.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:497;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:7:\"warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:94:\"Parameter 1 to texy_syntaxhighlighting_texy_settings() expected to be a reference, value given\";s:5:\"%file\";s:32:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/module.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:497;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:12:\"user warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:1667:\"Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired\nquery: UPDATE cache_filter SET data = '\\n<p>The Central Asia republic of Uzbekistan is well endowed with energy\\nresources, yet its energy system presents some critical problems in terms of\\nsustainability, security and affordability. Uzbekistan is the most populated\\ncountry in the region, and therefore population growth, economic development and\\nurbanization are likely to further strain the system in the future. We study\\nsome possible pathways for the Uzbek energy sector until 2040. We in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:12:\"user warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:225:\"Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired\nquery: SELECT data, created, headers, expire, serialized FROM cache_filter WHERE cid = '1:b168af876399ea695fe5d921bbbb9564'\";s:5:\"%file\";s:31:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:27;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.es/?q=es/node/263', '', '54.80.26.116', 1506307388) in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135

Warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/watchdog' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: INSERT INTO watchdog (uid, type, message, variables, severity, link, location, referer, hostname, timestamp) VALUES (0, 'php', '%message in %file on line %line.', 'a:4:{s:6:\"%error\";s:12:\"user warning\";s:8:\"%message\";s:408:\"Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired\nquery: UPDATE cache_filter SET data = '<p>© Grupo de Fluidodinámica Numérica de la Universidad de Zaragoza. gfn[arroba]unizar[punto]es</p>\\n', created = 1506307388, expire = 1506393788, headers = '', serialized = 0 WHERE cid = '1:b168af876399ea695fe5d921bbbb9564'\";s:5:\"%file\";s:31:\"/srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc\";s:5:\"%line\";i:112;}', 3, '', 'http://gfn.unizar.e in /srv/www/gfn/includes/database.mysql.inc on line 135
The future of energy in Uzbekistan | Grupo de Fluidodinámica Numérica

The future of energy in Uzbekistan

  • user warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: SELECT data, created, headers, expire, serialized FROM cache_filter WHERE cid = '3:78de104a4998179be73dc1de38662431' in /srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc on line 27.
  • user warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: UPDATE cache_filter SET data = '\n<p>The Central Asia republic of Uzbekistan is well endowed with energy\nresources, yet its energy system presents some critical problems in terms of\nsustainability, security and affordability. Uzbekistan is the most populated\ncountry in the region, and therefore population growth, economic development and\nurbanization are likely to further strain the system in the future. We study\nsome possible pathways for the Uzbek energy sector until 2040. We do so by\ncreating a detailed model of the Uzbek energy system, and analyzing\nquantitatively the differential effect of determined policies (as compared to\nBusiness As Usual ones) in the transformation of the energy demand and supply\nsides. We find that, even in a scenario of moderate economic growth, energy\nsector modernization can reduce the cumulative primary energy consumption by\n447 Mtoe (10.2 times the primary energy consumption of Uzbekistan in 2010) and\nCO2 emissions by 1155 Mt (10.5 times the current annual CO2 emissions). To\nachieve these savings, we estimate the required investment in the power and heat\nsectors at 2010$33.6 billion, or 1.5% of the country cumulative GDP (gross\ndomestic product) between 2010 and 2040; despite these additional investment\nneeds, we conclude that the affordability of energy to households is preserved\nor improved.</p>\n\n<!-- by Texy2! -->', created = 1506307388, expire = 1506393788, headers = '', serialized = 0 WHERE cid = '3:78de104a4998179be73dc1de38662431' in /srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc on line 112.
  • user warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: SELECT data, created, headers, expire, serialized FROM cache_filter WHERE cid = '1:b168af876399ea695fe5d921bbbb9564' in /srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc on line 27.
  • user warning: Table './drupal_gfn_web/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: UPDATE cache_filter SET data = '<p>&copy; Grupo de Fluidodinámica Numérica de la Universidad de Zaragoza. gfn[arroba]unizar[punto]es</p>\n', created = 1506307388, expire = 1506393788, headers = '', serialized = 0 WHERE cid = '1:b168af876399ea695fe5d921bbbb9564' in /srv/www/gfn/includes/cache.inc on line 112.
TítuloThe future of energy in Uzbekistan
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2015
AuthorsGómez A, Dopazo C, Fueyo N
JournalEnergy
Volume85
Pagination329 - 338
Date Published06/2015
ISSN03605442
Abstract

The Central Asia republic of Uzbekistan is well endowed with energy resources, yet its energy system presents some critical problems in terms of sustainability, security and affordability. Uzbekistan is the most populated country in the region, and therefore population growth, economic development and urbanization are likely to further strain the system in the future. We study some possible pathways for the Uzbek energy sector until 2040. We do so by creating a detailed model of the Uzbek energy system, and analyzing quantitatively the differential effect of determined policies (as compared to Business As Usual ones) in the transformation of the energy demand and supply sides. We find that, even in a scenario of moderate economic growth, energy sector modernization can reduce the cumulative primary energy consumption by 447 Mtoe (10.2 times the primary energy consumption of Uzbekistan in 2010) and CO2 emissions by 1155 Mt (10.5 times the current annual CO2 emissions). To achieve these savings, we estimate the required investment in the power and heat sectors at 2010$33.6 billion, or 1.5% of the country cumulative GDP (gross domestic product) between 2010 and 2040; despite these additional investment needs, we conclude that the affordability of energy to households is preserved or improved.

DOI10.1016/j.energy.2015.03.073
Short TitleEnergy